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Mar 18

3/18 Iran & the Middle East

(Posted by: Free Iran)
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WP:  Iraqi election results pointing up the country’s deep divides

The emerging results from last week’s parliamentary elections have made clear that Iraq remains a dangerously polarized nation, with deep regional and sectarian schisms that could widen as the U.S. military draws down.

The race to become Iraq’s next prime minister is so tight that it remains unclear who will come out ahead. The country is caught between two men: Ayad Allawi, a secular Shiite who became the candidate of choice for Sunni Arabs, and incumbent Nouri al-Maliki, an Islamist Shiite who has recast himself as a nationalist while still promising to serve the once-oppressed Shiite majority.

No matter which man’s slate wins more seats, diplomats and Iraqi officials say the post-election jockeying to build a governing coalition could give rise to new conflicts in Iraq’s Shiite-dominated south and the Sunni-dominated west, with the potential to unravel hard-won security gains.

Telegraph:  Iraq election: Sectarianism threatens Iraq’s future

Al-Maliki is already courting potential allies, but his sectarian attitude and his close ties with the Iranian regime raises deep concerns about his ability to project himself as a leader of all Iraqis. The fact that Al-Maliki was at the centre of a pre-election campaign banning significant Sunni figures from running for election, whilst his election posters concentrated more on the de-Baathification of Iraq than on leading the nation towards freedom and prosperity under a democratic government help to underline that point.

Times:  Tehran accused of arming Taleban with weapons and explosives

The Iranian Government has been accused by Afghan and Western officials of delivering tonnes of weaponry to the Taleban, including plastic explosives, mortars, grenades and technical manuals.

Weapons and documents shown to Channel 4 News indicate that more than ten tonnes of weapons have been intercepted at Iran’s desert border with Afghanistan in the past year, with a tonne and a half recovered in the past week.

The reports come as General David Petraeus, the head of US Central Command, warned the Senate Foreign Relations Committee that Iran also provided a base for al-Qaeda operatives. Afghanistan’s intelligence agency estimates that about 60 per cent of the weaponry it has intercepted from Iran has been supplied by the Iranian Government rather than black market dealers.

In a report on Iran’s weapons smuggling to the Taleban — to be aired by Channel 4 News this evening — one Afghan Taleban commander claims that the Iranian border is assuming greater importance than that into Pakistan.

Channel 4:  Exclusive: Iran supplies weapons to Taliban

Channel 4 News can reveal the Taliban insurgency against British and American forces is being supported by Iranian weapons smuggled over the border including mines, mortars and plastic explosives.

The exclusive images and documents show, for the first time, the full extent of Iranian support for the Taliban in the shape of tonnes of weapons of the type being used against UK troops in Helmand province.

Despite the millions of dollars being spent by the international community to ensure cross-border security between Iran and Afghanistan, Channel 4 News has been shown vast hauls of weaponry which Afghan security services have told us are just a fraction of hardware intercepted from Iran on their way to the Taliban.

They claim it shows the true extent of direct support from the Iranian government for the insurgency.

The Afghan border with Iran is almost 1000km long and is incredibly difficult to police. The border town of Eslam Ghalah, in the Western Afghanistan province of Herat, is a key checkpoint for goods and human traffic entering and leaving Afghanistan.

Inside Iran:  Turkey’s Warm Ties with Iran: A Brief History

The 1990s were marked by hostile relations between Iran and Turkey, which was the direct outcome of Turkish foreign policy elite’s conviction that Iran was supporting the Kurdish Workers’ Party (PKK) and had a campaign to export Islamic revolution to Turkey.

Iran was perceived as posing an existential threat to the survival of the organizing ideology of the state, secularism, and the territorial integrity of the country. In the first decade of the twenty-first century, however, there has been a notable softening in Turkey’s foreign policy vis-à-vis Iran. Since it came to power in 2002, the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) has adopted a new policy approach, which aims to minimize the problems in Turkey’s neighboring regions and develop political and economic relations to foster peace and stability in the region. Under the current government, the trade between Turkey and Iran has increased more than six-fold, hitting $7.5 billion in 2007.

Reuters:  Syria’s link to Hezbollah clouds honeymoon with U.S.

Emboldened by its strong ties with Iran and Turkey, Syria is ignoring U.S. demands that it stop backing Hezbollah, despite the risk that this will spoil its rapprochement with Washington and raise regional tensions.

FP:  Hezbollah’s Extreme Makeover

The fusion of leisure, religion, and politics has become an indispensable strategy for Hezbollah, particularly following its 2006 war with Israel. As the party reconstructed South Lebanon and Beirut’s southern suburbs (known as Dahiyeh) following the conflict, it built — and encouraged investors to build — entertainment venues that cater to Shiites of all social and economic classes.

After the 2006 war, Iranian money flowed in massive quantities to Hezbollah. This was not charity: The Islamic Republic of Iran was determined to ensure that its client could solidify its standing within Lebanon’s Shiite community and reconstitute its fighting strength before the next round against Israel. Hezbollah used these funds to compensate the Shiites who lost relatives, homes, and businesses during the war.

Mohammad Ali Mokalled, a Shiite writer and a candidate who ran in opposition to Hezbollah in the party’s stronghold of Nabatiyeh in last June’s parliamentary elections, said that Hezbollah used the money coming from Iran to buy people’s allegiance — and it worked. “If you ask anyone in the south today if they are afraid of an upcoming war with Israel, they tell you yes, but they also say that they would support Hezbollah no matter what happens,” he said.

BBC:  Netanyahu’s brother-in-law calls Obama ‘anti-Semitic’

In an interview with Israel Army Radio, Mr Ben-Artzi said his brother-in-law should learn from previous Israeli prime ministers.

“Once the Americans tried to intervene in anything related to Jerusalem we told them one simple word: ‘No’,” he explained.

Mr Obama, he added, not only disliked Mr Netanyahu personally, but “dislikes the people of Israel”.

“For 20 years, Obama sat with Reverend Jeremiah Wright, who is anti-Semitic, anti-Israeli, and anti-Jewish.”

He said it was clear Mr Obama agreed with Rev Wright because he had remained a member of his congregation.

“Think about it. If you had heard of someone who for 20 years sat in church and heard anti-Semitic sermons and didn’t get up to leave after two weeks, wouldn’t you think he identifies with it?” he asked.

“As a politician running for presidency he had to hide it, but it comes out every time and I think we just have to say it plainly – there is an anti-Semitic president in America,” he said.

“Unfortunately this creates a difficult situation for Israel, but we will never give up our deepest interests – Jerusalem and our ties with it.”

Economist:  Where did all the love go?

Friends have spats, but this seems to be more than that. America has not simply accepted Mr Netanyahu’s prompt apology. Opinion in the administration is said to be divided. Mr Biden himself and many State Department officials, together with George Mitchell, who was to have supervised the now-stalled proximity talks, advised cooling things down. But, whether out of rage or calculation, Mr Obama and Mrs Clinton preferred to escalate.

On television last Sunday David Axelrod, the president’s chief policy adviser, called Israel’s announcement an “affront” and an “insult”—extraordinary language in exchanges with an ally. And notwithstanding that “unshakeable bond”, Mrs Clinton is insisting that Mr Netanyahu must comply with a string of fresh demands. These reportedly include shelving the building plans, avoiding new provocations, agreeing to talk about “core issues” such as Jerusalem in the proximity talks, and offering a new concession, the details of which are not yet clear, to the Palestinian side.

…In testimony to a Senate committee this week, General David Petraeus, hero of Iraq and America’s commander in the wider Middle East, said the unsolved conflict in Palestine was fomenting anti-Americanism in the wider region. An obvious point, perhaps; but yet another reason why the love is draining out of a special relationship.

CFR:  Enemies Into Friends: How the United States Can Court Its Adversaries

NPR:  Foreign Policy: Changing Views Of Arab Youth

Feb 26

Iran, Syria mock U.S. policy; Ahmadinejad speaks of Israel’s ‘annihilation’

WASHINGTON POST (Posted by: Free Iran)
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The presidents of Iran and Syria on Thursday ridiculed U.S. policy in the region and pledged to create a Middle East “without Zionists,” combining a slap at recent U.S. overtures and a threat to Israel with an endorsement of one of the region’s defining alliances.

The United States also recently announced that it will send an ambassador to Damascus after a five-year absence, part of an effort to weaken Syria’s relations with Iran and discourage the country’s support for militant groups antagonistic to Israel.

But the message delivered by Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and Syrian President Bashar al-Assad in a joint news conference was sharp and spoke to a shared sense that Iran is gaining influence in the region despite U.S. efforts. Until the outcome of the broader struggle over Iran’s nuclear program becomes clear, analysts here say, it is unlikely Syria will change direction — or that progress can be made toward an Israel-Syria peace agreement.

The United States wants “to dominate the region, but they feel Iran and Syria are preventing that,” Ahmadinejad said. “We tell them that instead of interfering in the region’s affairs, to pack their things and leave.”

Ahmadinejad, a Holocaust denier, spoke of Israel’s eventual “demise and annihilation” and said the countries of the region could create a future “without Zionists and without colonialists.” Go to Washington Post.

Feb 25

Syria, Iran defend strong ties

WASHINGTON POST (Posted by: Free Iran)
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Syria and Iran defended their strong ties Thursday and dismissed U.S. efforts to break up the 30-year-alliance, saying America should not dictate relationships in the Middle East.

Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and his Syrian counterpart, Bashar Assad, vowed increased cooperation during a meeting in Damascus and canceled visa restrictions between the countries.

“We hope that others don’t give us lessons about our region and our history,” Assad told reporters when asked about Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton’s comments this week that the U.S. is troubled by Syria’s relationship with Iran. “We are the ones who decide how matters will go and we know our interests. We thank them for their advice.”

Ahmadinejad was more direct, calling for the U.S. to pack up and leave the Middle East.

“(The Americans) want to dominate the region but they feel Iran and Syria are preventing that,” he said. “We tell them that instead of interfering in the region’s affairs, to pack their things and leave.” Go to Washington Post.

Feb 19

Don’t expect progress from talking to Syria

WASHINGTON POST | Editorials (Posted by: Free Iran)
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THE NOTION that Syrian dictator Bashar al-Assad can somehow be turned from his alliance with Iran and sponsorship of terrorism is one of the hardiest of the Middle East. No number of failed diplomatic initiatives, or outrages by Mr. Assad, seems to diminish its luster. The latest attempt to test it comes from the Obama administration, which this week nominated the first U.S. ambassador to Damascus since 2005 and dispatched a senior State Department official, William J. Burns, to meet with Mr. Assad. “I have no illusions,” Mr. Burns said afterward, “but my meeting . . . made me hopeful we can make progress together.”

We don’t disagree with the administration’s selection of an ambassador or Mr. Burns’s visit; both represent a modest delivery on President Obama’s campaign promise of “direct engagement” with regimes such as Syria. But it’s worth noting that Mr. Burns has done this before: He met with Mr. Assad in 2004 on behalf of the Bush administration. Earlier, Secretary of State Colin L. Powell “engaged” Mr. Assad. So have House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, Senate Foreign Relations Committee Chairman John F. Kerry, and numerous European notables, including French President Nicolas Sarkozy. When he was Israeli prime minister, Ehud Olmert negotiated extensively with Mr. Assad through Turkish intermediaries.

Not a few have come away hopeful, at first. Ms. Pelosi memorably declared that “the road to Damascus is a road to peace.” Yet none so far has produced the slightest change in Mr. Assad’s behavior or in his unacceptable ambitions. Having carried out a campaign of political murder in Lebanon, including the killing of a prime minister for which he has yet to be held accountable, Mr. Assad continues to insist on a veto over the Lebanese government. He continues to facilitate massive illegal shipments of Iranian arms to Hezbollah, dangerously setting the stage for another war with Israel, and to host the most hard-line elements of the Hamas leadership. He continues to harbor exiled leaders of Saddam Hussein’s regime and to allow suicide bombers to flow into Iraq for use by al-Qaeda.

LA Times’ piece on same here.

Go to Washington Post.

Dec 18

The Enduring Iran-Syria-Hezbollah Axis

AEI (Posted by: Free Iran)
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The Obama administration would like to move Syria into the camp of more moderate Arab states, but there is scant evidence that Syria is willing to give up its support for terrorist organizations. Like Iran, it remains a destabilizing and dangerous force in the region.
Key points in this Outlook:

  • The Lebanese and Israeli border is calmer today than during the 2006 war, but the potential for regional conflict is great.
  • Both the Syrian and Iranian governments have used Hezbollah to conduct proxy warfare against Israel.
  • The Obama administration has tried to move Syria from a rejectionist state into the more moderate Arab camp, but there is no evidence that the engagement policy has worked. Go to AEI.

Dec 03

Syria bus blast kills Iranian pilgrims

GUARDIAN (Posted by: Free Iran)
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At least five people have been killed and several injured after an explosion on a bus carrying Iranian pilgrims in the Syrian capital, Damascus, today. Go to Guardian.

Oct 08

A Rapprochement Between Syria and Saudi Arabia?

TIME (Posted by: Free Iran)
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…But wooing Syria away from Iran will be no easy matter. Syrian officials long said that they would be open to a regional peace if Israel returns occupied Syrian land in the Golan Heights and offers a just settlement to the Palestinian question. But they have also maintained their right to continue Syria’s current relationship with Iran and their support for Hamas and Hizballah, just as the U.S. arms and supports Israel. Go to Time.

Oct 07

Saudi King to Pressure Syria Over Iran Alliance

WSJ (Posted by: Free Iran)
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Saudi King Abdullah al Saud is expected to make a rare visit to Syria this week to increase pressure on Syrian leader Bashar al Assad to loosen his alliance with Iran and strengthen Arab consensus on regional political and security issues, according to Saudi officials.

The summit would be the first trip to Damascus by the Saudi ruler since he took power in 2005. It culminates months of quiet diplomacy by the oil-rich Arab nation, U.S. and European officials who see Syria as a linchpin to curbing the influence of Iran and its proxies, such as militant groups Hezbollah and Hamas. Go to WSJ.

Aug 31

Syria and Iran: Decoding the Signals

MIDDLE EAST ONLINE (Posted by: Free Iran)
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The solid ties between Syria and Iran of the past few years are likely to loosen as Damascus attempts to win the favours of the West, especially Washington, which recently shifted from a policy of isolation to one of engagement with Syria, local analysts say.  Nevertheless, they say that Damascus seems to remain the strongest and most strategic regional ally of the Islamic Republic, which has come under international criticism in recent months for cracking down violently on political dissidents in the aftermath of a controversial presidential election in June. Go to Middle East Online.

Aug 25

The west struggles with Iran’s game

FINANCIAL TIMES | Roula Khalaf (Posted by: Free Iran)
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“Resistance” has won; the US’s “blade is losing its edge day by day”. So declared Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran’s supreme leader, after a meeting with Syria’s Bashar al-Assad, who turned up in Tehran last week to congratulate Mahmoud Ahmadi-Nejad on his “election”. Go to Financial Times.

Aug 24

The Region: Iran and Syria: So happy together

JERUSALEM POST (Posted by: Free Iran)
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One can learn a great deal by analyzing the visit of Syrian President Bashar Assad to Iran last week. Statements made by Assad and Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad reveal a great deal about the allies’ strategy which seems to escape Western observers. Go to Jerusalem Post.

Aug 23

The trap of regional peace

HAARETZ (Posted by: Free Iran)
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An unusual meeting took place in Damascus two weeks ago, albeit not an earth-shaking one and not one, it seems, affecting Israel directly, but it certainly reflects the modus operandi of U.S. President Barack Obama. Major General Michael Moeller of the U.S. Central Command, George Mitchell’s deputy Frederic Hof, and a delegation of U.S. officers met in Damascus with senior Syrian officers to formulate operational steps for sealing the country’s border with Iraq against terrorists. Go to Haaretz.

Aug 20

Syria’s al-Assad condemns Western “interference” in Iran

WASHINGTON TV (Posted by: Free Iran)
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Syrian President Bashar al-Assad on Wednesday congratulated his Iranian counterpart, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, and condemned foreign interference in Iran. Go to Washington TV.
Aug 19

Iran’s Release of Academic Puts Spotlight on French-Syrian Ties

NY TIMES (Posted by: Free Iran)
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France’s efforts to win the freedom of a young researcher who was arrested as she tried to leave Iran on July 1, and who was released on hundreds of thousands of dollars in bail over the weekend, have underscored Paris’s readiness to see Syria in a regional mediation role and bolstered hopes the woman will be found innocent and allowed to return home soon. Go to NY Times.

Aug 19

Iran’s Release of Academic Puts Spotlight on French-Syrian Ties

WASHINGTON POST | Matthew Saltmarsh (Posted by: Free Iran)
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France’s efforts to win the freedom of a young researcher who was arrested as she tried to leave Iran on July 1, and who was released on hundreds of thousands of dollars in bail over the weekend, have underscored Paris’s readiness to see Syria in a regional mediation role and bolstered hopes the woman will be found innocent and allowed to return home soon. Go to Washington Post.

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