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Iran Opposition Lacks Resolve to Oust Regime, Says Ex-President
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By Ladane Nasseri
March 31 (Bloomberg) — Iran’s opposition movement lacks the resolve and mass support needed to overthrow the country’s clerical regime, said Abolhassan Bani-Sadr, the Islamic republic’s first president.
In 1979, when Bani-Sadr helped lead the revolution that overthrew the Shah, “the young generation was determined to get rid of the monarchy,” the former president said in an interview at his home in Versailles, France. “Today’s opposition supporters are hesitant and confused as to what they are fighting for,” he said. “They are caught between what they desire and what they think is attainable.”
…Grassroots, Organic
The movement resembles the victorious rebels of 1979 in that “it is grassroots, organic and not controlled by any organization,” said Bani-Sadr, 77, who helped draft Iran’s constitution after the revolution and held the presidency from 1980 to 1981, when he fled the country after losing a power struggle with revolutionary leader Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini.
A key difference, though, is that it “hasn’t taken over all the cities and within cities some of the social classes have not joined,” Bani-Sadr said, citing the limited participation of the working class as an example.
Demonstrations since the election have mostly taken place in the capital, Tehran, and other major cities, while large parts of the country stayed calm.
Another problem for the opposition is that the demands of its supporters have come to exceed what the movement’s leaders are capable of delivering, Bani-Sadr said.
Incapable of Reform
Karrubi and Mousavi have stopped short of calling for the end of clerical rule. Bani-Sadr said the current system is incapable of democratic change, and religion should be separated from politics.
“If the regime was capable of being reformed, I would not be in exile, former President Mohammad Khatami would have succeeded during his time in office of bringing about a more open society, and this electoral fraud would not have taken place,” he said.
Further international sanctions aimed at curbing Iran’s nuclear program may backfire, especially if they hurt the economy, Bani-Sadr said. The U.S. has led calls for a fourth round of sanctions this year after Iran said it started enriching uranium to the level required to
The regime “benefits from a state of crisis,” and any sanctions should instead target the funds of officials abroad, and the sale of military equipment and technology that can be used to repress the opposition, Bani-Sadr said.
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