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Feb 13

Briefs 2/13 II

IRAN NEWS DIGEST (Posted by: Free Iran)
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LAT: 22 Bahman protest yields new lessons for bruised opposition She said though opposition activists were walking around, they couldn’t use their numbers to chant slogans because of the huge presence of security officials. “Even though the greens were large in number and didn’t repeat the slogans broadcast over the loudspeakers, they couldn’t gather together and do anything or deliver slogans,” she said. “The police and Basiji were just too many, and because the greens did not wear any paraphernalia, they were afraid and didn’t know who they could trust.”

The movement’s lack of a clear organizational structure is beginning to prove a disadvantage.

“The greens’ percentage in the crowd was between 40% to 60%,” the journalist said. “But the leaders should have been more clear. We should find ways to connect to each other more efficiently. We should better orchestrate our actions.”

The opposition movement has already begun reconsidering some of its moves, including the “Trojan Horse” strategy promoted on websites in which people were asked to hide their green ribbons and attend pro-government demonstrations and then pull out their gear and chant opposition slogans.

“It was a big mistake because greens couldn’t trust anyone or find each other and there were a lot of security officials around,” the journalist said.

“I don’t think that the regime won, because they themselves know that how much energy they had to expend to suppress people,” she said. “There were lots of Basijis in the streets. They brought so many police, special guards. They brought so many people from different small cities to just show off that, ‘We are a lot.’”

Though attacking opposition figures like Rahnavard and Karroubi was likely meant to humiliate them, the fact that they took a licking on the streets along with the rest of the protesters probably will improve their credibility among supporters and make them even more determined to continue their fight.

National Post: David Frum: Don’t start bombing Iran just yet But maybe the most important question to consider is: What effect would air strikes have upon Iranian public opinion? The ideal outcome for Iran is a regime change brought about by the Iranian people themselves. Many Iran experts claim that the Iranian population is the most pro-Western in the Muslim world. Would an air war alienate them?



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